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Iranian media published articles under the headlines "Why did Tehran agree to a ceasefire?", "What happened in 12 days?", and "What should we do next?"
Published articles state that in the first blow of the war, as a result of large-scale internal sabotage and intensive Israeli air strikes, most of Iran's long- and medium-range air defense systems were disabled.
From the 2nd or 3rd day of the war, Israel was moving almost completely freely in Iranian airspace - first in the West, and then gradually towards the Center of Iran. For a while, we saw that UAVs were also moving freely, which is an indication of how bad the situation was.
Air superiority is a key factor in understanding the missile issue.
Iran still has tens of thousands of ballistic missiles and hundreds of launchers. But that's not the point. The problem is that due to Israel's complete air superiority, Iran could not launch a large-scale missile strike. Every time Iran tried to remove launchers from underground bases, Israel immediately detected and destroyed it.
Therefore, Iran was forced to conduct its missile operations with small-scale, "hit-and-run" tactics. Old missiles were being used from bases in the Central and Eastern par of country, and as a result, Iran’s ability to retaliate gradually weakened.
In these circumstances, it was unrealistic to continue the war. From the very first days, there was no real deterrent. Firing 10–20 missiles a day, without a larger military objective, was simply a waste.
From a military perspective, Israel is clearly the winner, and there is no need to embellish this. From a political perspective, Israel has lost:
● The main goals were not achieved;
● The Islamic Republic of Iran is still standing;
● The nuclear program continues;
● Martyred commanders have been replaced.
Israel’s main achievement in this war was to almost completely disable Iran’s air defense network and, as a result, suppress Iran’s large-scale missile fire. This left Iran in a helpless position – because it had no way to respond to the escalation.
What will Israel do?
Israel will use this ceasefire to rearm, prepare for the next war. They will try to gradually move towards their main goal, which is regime change.
It is even possible to apply the “Lebanon model” to Iran — that is, to launch targeted attacks on Iran during the ceasefire period, but not receive a response.
Another Baloch man shot dead by Iranian military forces
Tabriz teacher sentenced to prison
Latest execution figures released in Iran
IRGC warns countries supporting US, says Strait of Hormuz to stay shut
Iranian lawmaker says Strait of Hormuz "belongs to Iran" amid parliamentary review
Iran to receive up to 400 air defence systems from China
Iranian military adviser vows retaliation over former Supreme Leader's killing
Turkish activist from Khorasan sentenced to prison
Hardline Iranian newspaper calls for sustained attacks and rejection of renewed US diplomacy
US strikes damage 18 water infrastructure sites in southern Iran
16 more businesses shut down in two cities
US strike hits IRGC naval facility on Iran's Caspian coast
Iran Again Threatens Trump with Assassination
Iranian MP says potential US strike could prompt shift toward nuclear deterrence
Iran executes January protest participant over alleged Israel, US links
Iranian Military Personnel Hold Protest Over Housing Delays
Iranian newspaper warns prolonged closure of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb would backfire
Hundreds of Prisoners Sew Their Lips Shut in Iran
Tehran mayor says Trump 'will not be safe anywhere' after Khamenei's killing
Iran again places Gunaz TV on its list of "enemy media"
Five Azerbaijani Turkish activists sentenced to prison in Qoshachay
US strikes damage 18 water infrastructure sites in southern Iran
Hardline Iranian newspaper calls for sustained attacks and rejection of renewed US diplomacy
Iran lacks funds to pay pensions, says Social Security chief
Iranian lawmaker says Strait of Hormuz "belongs to Iran" amid parliamentary review
Iranian military adviser vows retaliation over former Supreme Leader's killing
South Azerbaijani Turkic political activist Yurush Mehralibeyli sentenced to additional 3 years and 7 months in prison
Latest execution figures released in Iran
Gold production to reach 400 kg annually in Khoy
Two More Balochs Killed in Iran
Tabriz teacher sentenced to prison
Turkish activist from Khorasan sentenced to prison
IRGC warns countries supporting US, says Strait of Hormuz to stay shut
Iran to receive up to 400 air defence systems from China
Historical distortion alleged at Buzlu Sine tourist site near Urmia
Death toll rises to 19 among Afghans attempting to enter Iran
Another Baloch man shot dead by Iranian military forces